Why Trump became unbearable.

From dividing people to convincing them that they are cheating, Trump is now undermining the electoral system itself

Nicholas Goldberg wrote an interesting observation in the Los Angeles Times on Nov 4. “But this much is clear: On one level, Donald Trump has already won. He’s won because he has sown exactly the kind of discord he thrives on. He’s won because he’s divided us still further in ways that will stay with us long after he has left office. He’s turned adversaries into enemies, undermined our democratic institutions and convinced us we’re cheating one another. At the moment, he is continuing to undermine the electoral system itself with unsubstantiated charges of voter fraud.”

Though it’s still uncertain who will occupy the White House on January 20, 2021, assuming Joe Biden wins, the path ahead of him is daunting: an electorate divided; a likely Republican Senate disinclined to compromise; and a Trump-enhanced Supreme Court poised to frustrate him at every turn. Biden has, wisely and appropriately, promised to govern as President for all Americans — that is, the opposite of Trump’s divisive approach. But even winning the popular vote does not erase the fact that Biden would inherit a country whose citizens are as angry and polarised as at any moment in the recent past.

THREE DISASTERS

At least three important developments played a key role in the elections and it is necessary to know them to understand the voters’ perspective. This may also provide us some first signs of what type of a shift one may expect from the new US government.

Poor Economic Policy

As we all know, the economic policy of the Trump administration is characterised by individual and corporate tax cuts, attempts to repeal the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (‘Obamacare’), trade protectionism, immigration restriction, deregulation focused on the energy and financial sectors, and responses to the Covid-19 pandemic.

A key part of Trump’s economic strategy was to boost growth via tax cuts and additional spending, both of which significantly increased federal budget deficits. The positive economic situation he inherited from President Obama continued, with a labour market approaching full employment and measures of household income and wealth continuing to improve significantly.

Trump also implemented trade protectionism via tariffs, primarily on imports from China, as part of his ‘America First’ strategy. However, two important implications of these policies were that because of cuts in Obamacare, the number of Americans without health insurance increased under Trump, while his tax cuts worsened income inequality. The administration’s most direct and craven contribution to growing inequality, of course, is the 2017 tax cut. According to the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, $205 billion of the roughly $325 billion in revenue foregone by changes to the tax code went into the pockets of the richest 20%. Under $40 billion went to the poorest 60% of American taxpayers—about the same share that went to foreign investors.

Since the beginning of this year, pandemic concerns and mitigation measures resulted in over 40 million people filing for unemployment insurance until the end of March 2020. This has resulted in rapidly widening inequality in wages, incomes, and wealth where the poor and vulnerable were hit hard. For example, The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that the number of uninsured persons under age 65 rose from 28.2 million in 2016 to 32.8 million in 2019, an increase of 4.6 million or 16%.

Trump’s failures during the pandemic run the gamut from the rhetorical to the organisational. Every time the President speaks, he seems to add to the fear and chaos surrounding the situation: telling Americans it was not serious by asserting his “hunches” about data, assuring people that everyone would be tested even when there were very few tests available, telling people we are very close to a vaccine when it is anywhere from 12 to 18 months away, etc.

Bombastic and Racist

Trump was bombastic and racist from the outset, openly courting White xenophobic voters by falsely blaming immigrants and foreign nations for many of America’s woes. It seemed hardly a recipe for political success in a nation proudly built by immigrants and their descendants and led at the time by a Black president who, like Trump himself, was the son of an immigrant.

The peak situation was that there were more than a thousand protests—most of them peaceful, though some devolved into violence—which swept across America caused by outrage over the death of George Floyd, recorded as a Minneapolis police officer pressed a knee to his neck for nearly nine minutes while Floyd was handcuffed and lying face down. Floyd was one of approximately 1,100 people killed annually, most of them African-American, by police use of force in the US in recent years.

Withdrawal Syndrome

The US, on November 5, became the first country across the globe to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement. The Paris Agreement was drafted in 2015, with nearly 200 nations signing it to ensure and encourage a global response to the threats posed due to climate change. The US government, under the leadership of Trump, officially ended its association with the Agreement, over three years after the decision was first declared.

According to a report by BBC, the US represents around 15% of global greenhouse gas emissions and remains the world’s biggest and most powerful economy. While on one side, Trump withdrew from the Agreement, his political rival Biden took to social media and made a contrasting announcement. Biden announced that the US government, under his leadership would be rejoining the Agreement “in exactly 77 days”. This is a good sign not only to strive towards improving the global climate but also a real hope that global cooperation towards a more peaceful, fair and egalitarian world can be expected from this global leader in future.

Original post: https://telanganatoday.com/why-trump-became-unbearable

Hyderabad: ‘More days of heavy rainfall, very high temperature ahead’

With a record of around 29.8 cm of rainfall been recorded at Hayathnagar and more than 21 cm in about 35 places in the city, Hyderabad witnessed the highest rainfall ever in 24 hours on October 14. These torrential rains left 33 dead in the city (across Telangana the figure was over 70), caused huge property loss and brought normal life to a halt.

Waterlogging

All predictions of monsoon arrival, withdrawal and projections about the amount of rainfall to be received failed significantly. It is now well established that monsoon is changing with climate change.

In fact, this change was predicted way back in 2009 by the Indo-German Project on Sustainable Hyderabad, in which 60 scientists worked for eight years on different subjects. Analysing 100 years of rainfall and other data at Begumpet it made very clear long-term climate change projections and their implications on Hyderabad, for the first time. The study clearly emphasised that with global warming, monsoon is changing and becoming more and more erratic and unpredictable.


CLIMATE VARIABLES IMPACTING HYDERABAD

Climate Change projections depend on global CO2-emission scenarios, best described by a high (A2, business as usual) and low (B2, global emission reduction from about 2035 on) global emission future. The level of certainty of climate system representations for Hyderabad was assessed by their degree of consensus with 17 independent climate models (provided by the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change). In the following projections, two most relevant climate variables impacting urban functions are explained

VERY STRONG MONSOON RAIN EVENTS

More than 80mm/day, currently occurring once in two years are the major cause of flooding in Hyderabad, resulting in a wide range of secondary impacts: adverse health effects, traffic breakdowns and infrastructure damage. Independent of the emission scenario, we have to prepare for a 60% increase in the frequency of these events until 2050.

EXTREMELY HOT DAYS

Currently 1.2 days/year in Hyderabad according to the IMD-definition cause direct adverse health effects and a multitude of indirect impacts (accidents, labour slackening etc.). Compared to the average of days now, for the high-emission scenario (A2), we expect about 20 days until 2050 and 40 in 2100. While for the low-emission scenario (B1) the number with values of 8 and 13 days respectively are still a big challenge.

CHALLENGE FOR POLICY MAKERS, PLANNERS & ADMINISTRATORS

Hyderabad as a megacity with about a crore population is presently characterized by climatic conditions of large variations in temperature and precipitation during different seasons and these conditions are very likely to become more extreme in the future. The city is already struggling to cope with these extremes and climate change will increase the frequency and amplitude of further damage-inducing conditions for the people. In order to deal with comprehensive assessment of the future, the Project has developed a software tool (based on public domain web-GIS) enabling us to analyse spatially and temporal explicit climate change impacts for different combinations of scenarios in an interactive manner. It is called Climate Assessment Tool for Hyderabad (CATHY) This helps identify new pluvial floodaffected locations under climate change until the end of the century. By choosing a certain scenario for an area (for instance: combination of exponential population growth and usual global emission), it can show the extent of the population that would be affected.

Through this, climate variables relevant for the urban functioning of Hyderabad can be projected with a good deal of certainty. The results of this kind of assessment needs to be made available for planning processes which encompass a wide variety of institutional actors namely, the administrative and planning authority of the metropolitan region for regular and Master Plan 2031, elected council of the corporations and municipalities in the region, other elected governance units, researchers, industries, NGOs and other associations in the civil society for their realization.

(The author is MLA and Chairman of the Indo-German Climate Change Project)
Source: https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/hyderabad/more-days-of-heavy-rainfall-very-high-temperature-ahead/articleshow/78979928.cms